Monday, January 5, 2015

Ok - I have been slacking - my apologies.  I will throw out some honesty to get the ball rolling.

Recent games - I took the following bets over the past few days :

Won on Ohio State and Alabama overs.
Lost on Auburn - 6
Won on Oregon -7
Won on Pitt overs
Won on Tennessee -3 over Iowa (come on Hawkeyes - you are a lock during bowl season)
Won on Kstate/UCLA overs
Won on Panthers - 5 1/2
Lost on Steelers - twice, had a futures bet on them to win the SuperBowl this year.
Lost on East Carolina/Florida overs - should have gone over - ECU fumbled in the red zone, missed a FG I could have made and then turned the ball over driving for a game tying TD at the end.
Won on the Colts -4
Won on Dallas/Detroit total sacks - over 4 1/2 - they combined for 9
And finally lost everything I was up since New Years on the overs of Dallas/Detroit. Terrible game, should have gone over easily.  Cowboy fans - not only is Tony Romo not your QB of the future, your offensive line got literally thrown around every other play of the game. Good luck next week and next year, you are going to need it because your season is over before you even fly to Green Bay.

All of that being said - my leans at this point for next weeks games.  I reserve the right to make corrections as game times get closer.

New England -7 vs. Baltimore - total of 47 1/2.  New England is better, is at home, has had time off, and Baltimore played well last week, which means they won't this week. New England and the overs.
New England 35 Baltimore 17

Seattle -11 vs. Carolina - total of 40.  Unders are tempting, but game will go over if weather is ok. Carolina is better than people think and if this goes to +12 take the points.

Seattle 27 Carolina 17

Green Bay -6 vs. Dallas and total of 53.  Green Bay drills the Cowboys and this only goes over if Green Bay scores 35 on their own, because Dallas probably can't score 17.

Green Bay 33 Dallas 14

Denver -7 vs. Indy - total of 54.  My tendency is to say that Indy will cover here and to do so the total should go under.  The changing of the guard from Elway to Manning, from Manning to Luck, etc. is always a good story.  Can Indy stop the run - maybe. Will Manning throw for a bunch of yards - maybe.  I will give you more thoughts on this game at the end of the week.

My gut says Denver 28 Indy 24

And finally - Oregon - 6 1/2 vs. Ohio State - total of 76.  Ohio State looked good vs. Bama, but I just don't believe the magic can continue. Oregon rolls em and the total goes under.  Prediction 45-20.

Recent Movies - Life of Crime - Jennifer Aniston, Mos Def, Will Forte, Tim Robbins, actually very funny, a little hard to watch and Tim Robbins plays a complete creep. 6/10

Good People - James Franco and Kate Hudson - slow but decent movie 5/10.

TV - Netflix - getting into Marco Polo - very good. Catching up on the Newsroom - this season is pretty good. Can not wait until all of new shows start back up this week - Shameless is flat out good, Banshee has simple violent plots and completely gratuitious nudity, and the next batch of House of Cards is coming soon. 

Last gripe of the day - if you are in management, IT, HR, or are in anyway, shape, or form responsible for any training, role changes, workload revisions, new programming, etc. for your company now or in the future - one rule stands true.  Do not change for the sake of change - make sure it is necessary, productive, contributes to your customer, and is not the evil plot of an upper level management person who came up with what they thought was a great idea and had the power level to push it forward without anyone calling them on it.

2nd - if you do need to make change - start from the bottom, what does the customer actually want and how do the people that deal with them on a daily basis provide that to them. Get the employees input and determine how to design a new system/operation. Ask them to help you work out the important parts, the day to day activity, the areas they need to work from a user standpoint, etc.

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